Betting Lines
| Spread | SFA -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | SFA -250 SHSU +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SFA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SFA +10 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | SFA -3.2 (+6.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.9 (-6.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 11% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 4% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SFA -2.4 (+7.6) | 151.5 (-5.5) | 62% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SFA -3.4 (+6.6) | 148.0 (-2.0) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SFA -1.5 (+8.5) | 150.7 (-4.7) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SFA -2.1 (+7.9) | 153.0 (-7.0) | 59% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 2, 2023 | SHSU 64 – 59 SFA |
| Jan 20, 2023 | SHSU 76 – 71 SFA |
| Feb 25, 2022 | SFA 69 – 67 SHSU |
| Jan 15, 2022 | SHSU 49 – 41 SFA |
| Mar 6, 2021 | SFA 64 – 59 SHSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SFA | SHSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-5 | 19-9 |
| Conference | 12-3 | 13-3 |
| Home | 10-1 | 12-1 |
| Away | 6-4 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | W1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.8 | 74.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 72.9 |
| Massey | -0.6 (#169) | -1.2 (#182) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.11 (#260) | 1.46 (#75) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.96 (#283) | 1.63 (#86) |
| RPI | 0.464 (#222) | 0.574 (#57) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SFA | SHSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 52.5% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 36.7% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.7% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 25.1% | 21.3% |
| ORB% | 34.6% | 29.8% |
| FT Rate | 32.3% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.7% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.3% | 21.7% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 66.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 35.9% | 27.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.