Betting Lines
| Spread | SHSU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | SFA +100 SHSU -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SFA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHSU +5 | 123 | Lost |
| Massey | SHSU -1.7 (-3.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.9 (-10.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 37% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHSU -1.1 (-3.9) | 135.5 (-12.5) | 42% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SHSU -0.9 (-4.1) | 131.8 (-8.8) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SHSU -0.9 (-4.1) | 136.4 (-13.4) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SHSU -0.9 (-4.1) | 137.6 (-14.6) | 44% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 20, 2023 | SHSU 76 – 71 SFA |
| Feb 25, 2022 | SFA 69 – 67 SHSU |
| Jan 15, 2022 | SHSU 49 – 41 SFA |
| Mar 6, 2021 | SFA 64 – 59 SHSU |
| Jan 31, 2021 | SFA 78 – 68 SHSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SFA | SHSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 26-8 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 14-4 |
| Home | 12-4 | 12-1 |
| Away | 6-5 | 10-6 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 67.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.7 | 61.7 |
| Massey | 3.0 (#122) | 8.3 (#70) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.53 (#125) | 1.66 (#50) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.56 (#129) | 1.73 (#64) |
| RPI | 0.539 (#104) | 0.576 (#49) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SFA | SHSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 40.0% | 39.0% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.5% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 21.4% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 32.6% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 28.0% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.1% | 24.0% |
| DRB% | 67.5% | 73.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.1% | 25.9% |
Game Analysis
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