Betting Lines
| Spread | KC -3.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KC +9 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | KC -2.7 (+6.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.7 (-4.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KC -2.2 (+6.8) | 144.7 (-9.7) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KC -2.5 (+6.5) | 146.8 (-11.8) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KC -2.7 (+6.3) | 148.7 (-13.7) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KC -2.6 (+6.4) | 146.7 (-11.7) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | SDAK 82 – 75 KC |
| Jan 16, 2026 | SDAK 99 – 83 KC |
| Feb 14, 2025 | SDAK 79 – 72 KC |
| Jan 3, 2025 | KC 68 – 54 SDAK |
| Feb 23, 2024 | KC 82 – 78 SDAK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KC | SDAK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-12 | 19-12 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 11-7 |
| Home | 11-3 | 12-4 |
| Away | 8-7 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.7 | 73.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 72.5 |
| Massey | -3.0 (#224) | -2.9 (#223) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.10 (#188) | -0.26 (#200) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.11 (#165) | -0.46 (#209) |
| RPI | 0.502 (#177) | 0.487 (#201) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KC | SDAK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 36.5% | 37.7% |
| REB / G | 29.9 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 7.2 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.6% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 21.9% | 26.9% |
| FT Rate | 20.9% | 27.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.3% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 73.8% | 77.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 34.1% | 25.1% |
Game Analysis
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