Betting Lines
| Spread | OHIO -7.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | OHIO -340 AKR +270 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OHIO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AKR +8 | 174 | Lost |
| Massey | OHIO -7.1 (-15.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.3 (+45.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OHIO -7.2 (-15.2) | 133.0 (+41.0) | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OHIO -7.1 (-15.1) | 133.5 (+40.5) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | OHIO -6.7 (-14.7) | 135.1 (+38.9) | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OHIO -6.5 (-14.5) | 133.4 (+40.6) | 79% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | AKR 86 – 65 OHIO |
| Feb 22, 2025 | OHIO 84 – 67 AKR |
| Jan 17, 2025 | AKR 92 – 80 OHIO |
| Mar 15, 2024 | AKR 65 – 62 OHIO |
| Feb 28, 2024 | OHIO 74 – 67 AKR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OHIO | AKR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 24-10 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 14-6 |
| Home | 15-2 | 12-3 |
| Away | 8-6 | 8-4 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.6 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.9 | 63.9 |
| Massey | 4.4 (#109) | 0.1 (#161) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.64 (#58) | 0.11 (#164) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.67 (#78) | 0.20 (#156) |
| RPI | 0.576 (#56) | 0.516 (#146) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OHIO | AKR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 27.1% | 29.8% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 26.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.3% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 74.2% | 74.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.7% | 17.8% |
Game Analysis
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