Betting Lines
| Spread | DEP -2.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GTWN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DEP +3 | 133 | Lost |
| Massey | DEP -3.5 (+0.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.1 (-18.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 26% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 22% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DEP -1.2 (-1.8) | 149.1 (-16.1) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DEP -3.1 (+0.1) | 149.4 (-16.4) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DEP -3.5 (+0.5) | 151.1 (-18.1) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DEP -3.2 (+0.2) | 152.1 (-19.1) | 34% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | GTWN 63 – 56 DEP |
| Jan 29, 2026 | GTWN 70 – 61 DEP |
| Jan 7, 2026 | DEP 56 – 50 GTWN |
| Mar 12, 2025 | DEP 71 – 67 GTWN |
| Mar 8, 2025 | DEP 83 – 77 GTWN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GTWN | DEP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-25 | 15-16 |
| Conference | 0-19 | 6-14 |
| Home | 6-11 | 11-7 |
| Away | 0-11 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L21 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.7 | 73.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.0 | 72.2 |
| Massey | -0.4 (#171) | 5.9 (#95) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.54 (#222) | 0.98 (#99) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.43 (#204) | 1.36 (#95) |
| RPI | 0.451 (#260) | 0.497 (#184) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GTWN | DEP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.2% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 37.8 | 38.7 |
| OREB / G | 12.6 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.6% | 48.1% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 32.1% | 32.1% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.4% | 48.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.7% | 20.0% |
Game Analysis
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