Betting Lines
| Spread | AMCC -1.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MCN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AMCC +12 | 118 | Lost |
| Massey | AMCC -0.5 (-11.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.6 (-30.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 45% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 46% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MCN -0.2 (-12.2) | 149.0 (-31.0) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AMCC -0.1 (-11.9) | 149.2 (-31.2) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AMCC -0.0 (-12.0) | 151.5 (-33.5) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AMCC -1.0 (-11.0) | 151.4 (-33.4) | 44% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | MCN 70 – 54 AMCC |
| Jan 19, 2026 | MCN 69 – 53 AMCC |
| Feb 22, 2025 | MCN 73 – 57 AMCC |
| Jan 28, 2025 | MCN 74 – 73 AMCC |
| Feb 10, 2024 | MCN 74 – 67 AMCC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MCN | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-22 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 4-10 | 7-7 |
| Home | 6-5 | 9-4 |
| Away | 2-13 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 7-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.4 | 73.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.2 | 71.2 |
| Massey | -8.6 (#307) | -5.3 (#258) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.82 (#316) | -1.14 (#265) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.08 (#306) | -1.40 (#270) |
| RPI | 0.449 (#265) | 0.428 (#307) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MCN | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 41.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 29.9% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 37.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 13.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.63 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.2% | 46.1% |
| TOV% | 22.7% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 33.1% | 35.5% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 29.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 23.9% |
| DRB% | 70.7% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.6% | 32.6% |
Game Analysis
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