You have to let that raga drop. "Rock the Casbah" - The Clash
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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53–10 on winners spread MAE 7.8 63 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Duke @ Virginia -3.1 124.1 39% 65–61 ✓
Xavier @ Providence +3.2 140.5 69% 92–99 ✓
TCU @ Texas +7.7 127.1 75% 66–75 ✓
James Madison @ Towson +10.1 140.5 85% 65–84 ✓
George Mason @ VCU +6.5 131.4 78% 66–72 ✓
UL Monroe @ Georgia State +9.7 142.0 83% 70–82 ✓
Lafayette @ Boston University +8.1 141.6 79% 60–76 ✓
Colgate @ Holy Cross -12.6 139.3 13% 78–71 ✓
South Florida @ East Carolina +4.7 130.9 72% 60–64 ✓
American University @ Lehigh +2.3 134.0 64% 61–78 ✓
Loyola Maryland @ Navy +8.2 121.5 79% 50–52 ✓
Radford @ Longwood +9.4 130.4 82% 66–71 ✓
High Point @ North Carolina A&T +1.5 135.2 58% 78–58 ✗
UNC Asheville @ Gardner-Webb +5.6 140.6 73% 59–60 ✓
Charleston Southern @ Presbyterian +9.0 131.0 82% 48–68 ✓
Campbell @ Hampton -5.6 131.0 31% 66–68 ✗
Boston College @ NC State +5.8 141.1 69% 69–61 ✗
Syracuse @ Notre Dame +3.7 146.6 70% 69–79 ✓
Wake Forest @ Clemson +0.3 143.7 53% 69–80 ✓
Vermont @ Binghamton -11.8 136.3 16% 66–49 ✓
Stony Brook @ UMass Lowell +2.3 146.1 62% 50–67 ✓
New Hampshire @ NJIT -3.6 130.0 35% 83–55 ✓
UMBC @ Hartford -0.3 148.4 49% 92–85 ✓
UAlbany @ Maine -6.7 129.1 24% 72–68 ✓
Central Arkansas @ North Alabama +4.7 148.6 68% 81–72 ✗
Florida Gulf Coast @ Liberty +10.5 147.5 80% 82–72 ✗
Stetson @ Kennesaw State +4.7 140.9 69% 71–75 ✓
Eastern Kentucky @ Jacksonville State +8.2 153.6 76% 68–81 ✓
North Florida @ Jacksonville +6.6 128.3 74% 39–71 ✓
Lipscomb @ Bellarmine +7.2 144.7 79% 73–76 ✓
West Virginia @ Iowa State +4.0 131.0 67% 81–84 ✓
UT Arlington @ Troy +4.1 135.6 69% 53–59 ✓
Louisiana @ Georgia Southern -1.9 136.4 36% 82–69 ✓
Drake @ Valparaiso -5.2 141.0 25% 71–65 ✓
Northern Iowa @ Indiana State -3.7 145.5 34% 88–82 ✓
La Salle @ Fordham +3.6 139.2 72% 54–60 ✓
Massachusetts @ Dayton +11.9 141.1 86% 61–82 ✓
Davidson @ Duquesne -12.0 136.7 17% 74–50 ✓
Wofford @ VMI -0.0 146.0 42% 83–72 ✓
Western Carolina @ UNC Greensboro +10.4 135.2 84% 64–73 ✓
Chattanooga @ East Tennessee State -3.1 135.5 35% 83–77 ✓
The Citadel @ Mercer +6.1 153.3 74% 71–67 ✗
Rutgers @ Michigan +6.2 135.9 76% 62–71 ✓
App State @ Little Rock -8.1 132.5 22% 78–66 ✓
Houston @ Tulane -10.0 140.4 16% 81–67 ✓
Illinois State @ Southern Illinois +5.2 131.7 77% 69–90 ✓
Tulsa @ SMU +11.3 142.0 85% 61–75 ✓
Grand Canyon @ Chicago State -13.6 136.2 14% 85–64 ✓
Texas State @ South Alabama +2.7 130.6 56% 55–52 ✗
Coastal Carolina @ Arkansas State +0.2 134.9 53% 74–69 ✗
Bradley @ Missouri State +5.1 137.4 72% 67–83 ✓
Evansville @ Loyola Chicago +20.2 128.6 90% 31–82 ✓
Furman @ Samford -4.5 152.0 39% 75–83 ✗
Ole Miss @ Auburn +12.9 146.4 87% 64–77 ✓
Butler @ Seton Hall +11.0 135.5 84% 60–66 ✓
LSU @ Kentucky +7.3 144.3 81% 66–71 ✓
Wisconsin @ Minnesota -2.2 134.4 28% 68–67 ✓
Cincinnati @ UCF +2.7 140.5 67% 61–75 ✓
Virginia Tech @ Georgia Tech -5.1 131.0 29% 62–58 ✓
Wyoming @ Colorado State +3.6 140.2 76% 55–61 ✓
Washington @ Washington State +11.2 140.4 84% 70–78 ✓
Wagner @ Fairleigh Dickinson -12.7 146.4 15% 86–88 ✗
William & Mary @ Northeastern +8.0 132.3 77% 28–62 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.