Betting Lines
| Spread | WIS -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MINN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIS +1 | 135 | Lost |
| Massey | WIS -3.8 (+2.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.4 (+1.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 20% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 18% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIS -2.2 (+1.2) | 134.4 (+0.6) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIS -2.7 (+1.7) | 135.1 (-0.1) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIS -2.3 (+1.3) | 135.2 (-0.2) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIS -2.6 (+1.6) | 136.3 (-1.3) | 35% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | WIS 67 – 63 MINN |
| Jan 14, 2026 | WIS 78 – 75 MINN |
| Mar 6, 2025 | WIS 74 – 67 MINN |
| Jan 11, 2025 | WIS 80 – 59 MINN |
| Jan 24, 2024 | WIS 61 – 59 MINN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MINN | WIS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-17 | 25-8 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 15-5 |
| Home | 8-7 | 12-4 |
| Away | 3-9 | 9-2 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.0 | 69.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.2 | 66.0 |
| Massey | 5.2 (#102) | 11.8 (#27) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.37 (#77) | 3.25 (#10) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.59 (#85) | 3.61 (#13) |
| RPI | 0.549 (#83) | 0.628 (#11) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MINN | WIS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 36.8% | 31.0% |
| REB / G | 31.3 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 6.2 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.27 | 1.30 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 14.7% | 12.7% |
| ORB% | 18.2% | 25.8% |
| FT Rate | 17.0% | 23.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 75.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.7% | 18.0% |
Game Analysis
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