I know you're dissatisfied with your position and your place. "Positively 4th Street" - Bob Dylan
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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26–3 on winners spread MAE 7.6 29 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Tennessee @ Missouri -11.5 132.8 19% 80–61 ✓
Arkansas @ Florida +0.6 138.0 52% 82–74 ✗
Michigan State @ Iowa +6.0 152.5 76% 60–86 ✓
Charleston @ Northeastern -2.6 141.5 34% 83–72 ✓
Siena @ Monmouth +7.5 134.8 77% 59–71 ✓
Rhode Island @ St. Bonaventure +8.2 133.5 82% 55–73 ✓
Richmond @ George Washington -5.4 141.7 30% 84–71 ✓
Northern Illinois @ Eastern Michigan +3.2 141.1 66% 72–74 ✓
Ball State @ Kent State +9.8 141.7 83% 82–93 ✓
Bowling Green @ Akron +7.9 144.4 76% 68–82 ✓
Buffalo @ Miami (OH) -5.7 157.9 25% 86–84 ✓
Toledo @ Western Michigan -15.3 145.7 14% 92–50 ✓
Central Michigan @ Ohio +17.6 144.0 90% 50–76 ✓
Georgia @ Texas A&M +10.1 142.5 86% 77–91 ✓
Villanova @ UConn +2.1 137.3 66% 69–71 ✓
Oklahoma @ Texas Tech +10.2 131.0 85% 42–66 ✓
Miami @ Pittsburgh -2.7 135.3 38% 85–64 ✓
Saint Joseph's @ Saint Louis +13.7 144.1 88% 61–72 ✓
Nebraska @ Northwestern +11.0 153.3 87% 65–77 ✓
Kansas State @ Kansas +12.5 146.6 87% 83–102 ✓
Alabama @ Vanderbilt -2.9 155.0 35% 74–72 ✓
Fresno State @ Air Force -12.0 123.3 17% 65–40 ✓
San Diego State @ Boise State +3.2 122.7 70% 57–58 ✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ Cal Poly -2.4 129.4 30% 61–60 ✓
New Mexico @ Utah State +15.1 152.1 88% 56–81 ✓
UNLV @ Nevada -0.5 144.0 48% 62–54 ✓
Bucknell @ Army +7.1 148.3 77% 60–73 ✓
Creighton @ St. John's +5.0 148.7 69% 81–78 ✗
Mississippi State @ South Carolina -1.8 137.8 49% 56–66 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.