Betting Lines
| Spread | CSUB -1.0 Push |
| O/U | 126.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUB +1 | 121 | Lost |
| Massey | CSUB -0.9 (-0.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 125.8 (-4.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 57% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 59% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSUB -2.4 (+1.4) | 129.4 (-8.4) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSUB -0.3 (-0.7) | 131.8 (-10.8) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CSUB -0.3 (-0.7) | 132.7 (-11.7) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSUB -0.4 (-0.6) | 131.4 (-10.4) | 41% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | CP 108 – 76 CSUB |
| Jan 30, 2026 | CP 104 – 79 CSUB |
| Mar 1, 2025 | CP 98 – 72 CSUB |
| Jan 31, 2025 | CP 90 – 81 CSUB |
| Mar 3, 2024 | CSUB 68 – 56 CP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CP | CSUB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-21 | 8-19 |
| Conference | 2-12 | 2-12 |
| Home | 4-7 | 5-7 |
| Away | 2-12 | 2-11 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 60.6 | 61.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.9 | 67.4 |
| Massey | -9.9 (#318) | -6.2 (#271) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.02 (#325) | -1.81 (#314) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.22 (#318) | -2.07 (#306) |
| RPI | 0.406 (#333) | 0.413 (#324) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CP | CSUB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.4% | 40.6% |
| 3PT% | 29.6% | 28.4% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.69 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.5% | 44.0% |
| TOV% | 23.0% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 27.4% | 32.1% |
| FT Rate | 26.8% | 21.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 20.5% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.0% | 36.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.