Betting Lines
| Spread | RICH -7.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.0 Over |
| Money | GW +270 RICH -330 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RICH +13 | 155 | Lost |
| Massey | RICH -6.0 (-7.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.1 (+13.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 30% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 25% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RICH -5.4 (-7.6) | 141.7 (+13.3) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RICH -3.4 (-9.6) | 142.0 (+13.0) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RICH -4.2 (-8.8) | 142.0 (+13.0) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RICH -4.6 (-8.4) | 143.0 (+12.0) | 34% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | GW 85 – 69 RICH |
| Dec 31, 2025 | GW 99 – 85 RICH |
| Jan 30, 2025 | GW 75 – 66 RICH |
| Dec 31, 2024 | RICH 66 – 61 GW |
| Feb 17, 2024 | RICH 90 – 74 GW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GW | RICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-18 | 24-13 |
| Conference | 8-9 | 10-8 |
| Home | 8-5 | 11-4 |
| Away | 3-10 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 6-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.4 | 71.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.8 | 68.4 |
| Massey | -3.1 (#230) | 5.7 (#96) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.26 (#202) | 1.05 (#96) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.38 (#203) | 1.27 (#98) |
| RPI | 0.486 (#208) | 0.552 (#77) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GW | RICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 1.60 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.6% | 51.9% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 14.4% |
| ORB% | 23.8% | 23.5% |
| FT Rate | 16.8% | 20.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 67.7% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.6% | 17.1% |
Game Analysis
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