Betting Lines
| Spread | OHIO -16.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OHIO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OHIO +26 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | OHIO -19.0 (+7.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.6 (-14.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OHIO -17.6 (+8.4) | 144.0 (-18.0) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OHIO -14.7 (+11.3) | 144.9 (-18.9) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OHIO -15.9 (+10.1) | 145.9 (-19.9) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OHIO -16.1 (+9.9) | 145.7 (-19.7) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 30, 2025 | OHIO 80 – 64 CMU |
| Feb 19, 2025 | OHIO 84 – 82 CMU |
| Jan 5, 2025 | OHIO 57 – 55 CMU |
| Jan 17, 2024 | OHIO 73 – 61 CMU |
| Feb 18, 2023 | OHIO 76 – 59 CMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OHIO | CMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 7-23 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 6-12 |
| Home | 15-2 | 2-9 |
| Away | 8-6 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.6 | 65.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.9 | 77.0 |
| Massey | 4.2 (#112) | -12.0 (#333) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.62 (#60) | -1.56 (#300) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.66 (#74) | -2.17 (#317) |
| RPI | 0.576 (#55) | 0.446 (#274) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OHIO | CMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 40.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 47.8% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 27.0% | 24.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.6% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 54.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.3% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 74.7% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.1% | 25.7% |
Game Analysis
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