Betting Lines
| Spread | MSST -2.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SC +10 | 122 | Won |
| Massey | MSST -1.8 (+11.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.8 (-15.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 54% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MSST -1.8 (+11.8) | 137.8 (-15.8) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MSST -0.1 (+10.1) | 140.2 (-18.2) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MSST -0.0 (+10.0) | 141.3 (-19.3) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MSST -0.6 (+10.6) | 141.2 (-19.2) | 49% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | SC 97 – 89 MSST |
| Jan 25, 2025 | MSST 65 – 60 SC |
| Jan 4, 2025 | MSST 85 – 50 SC |
| Mar 9, 2024 | SC 93 – 89 MSST |
| Jan 6, 2024 | SC 68 – 62 MSST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SC | MSST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-13 | 18-16 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 8-10 |
| Home | 12-4 | 14-3 |
| Away | 4-7 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.7 | 70.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 66.2 |
| Massey | 6.0 (#94) | 10.6 (#43) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.50 (#66) | 1.53 (#65) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.48 (#87) | 1.85 (#66) |
| RPI | 0.563 (#63) | 0.556 (#70) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SC | MSST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 31.3% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.9 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.9% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 21.3% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 34.3% | 34.2% |
| FT Rate | 19.5% | 26.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.8% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 67.8% | 74.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.4% | 20.3% |
Game Analysis
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