Betting Lines
| Spread | TA&M -12.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TA&M win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TA&M +14 | 168 | Won |
| Massey | TA&M -12.2 (+1.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.3 (+21.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TA&M -11.6 (+2.4) | 144.4 (+23.6) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TA&M -10.1 (+3.9) | 142.5 (+25.5) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TA&M -11.3 (+2.7) | 144.8 (+23.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TA&M -11.3 (+2.7) | 144.4 (+23.6) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | TA&M 92 – 77 UGA |
| Feb 12, 2025 | TA&M 69 – 53 UGA |
| Mar 2, 2024 | TA&M 70 – 56 UGA |
| Feb 5, 2023 | TA&M 82 – 57 UGA |
| Jan 5, 2022 | TA&M 81 – 79 UGA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TA&M | UGA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-13 | 6-26 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 1-17 |
| Home | 16-4 | 6-13 |
| Away | 5-5 | 0-10 |
| Neutral | 6-4 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L12 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.9 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.4 | 78.5 |
| Massey | 7.8 (#73) | -1.5 (#196) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.36 (#76) | -0.73 (#240) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.58 (#81) | -0.81 (#231) |
| RPI | 0.536 (#112) | 0.454 (#249) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TA&M | UGA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 34.6% | 26.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.3% | 29.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.4% | 53.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.5% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 65.9% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.6% | 16.9% |
Game Analysis
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