Betting Lines
| Spread | TA&M -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | TA&M -800 UGA +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TA&M win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TA&M +25 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | TA&M -10.4 (+14.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.5 (-1.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TA&M -11.7 (+13.3) | 140.4 (-1.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TA&M -8.7 (+16.3) | 142.7 (-3.7) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TA&M -9.7 (+15.3) | 143.2 (-4.2) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TA&M -9.5 (+15.5) | 139.7 (-0.7) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | TA&M 92 – 77 UGA |
| Feb 12, 2025 | TA&M 69 – 53 UGA |
| Mar 2, 2024 | TA&M 70 – 56 UGA |
| Feb 23, 2022 | TA&M 91 – 77 UGA |
| Jan 5, 2022 | TA&M 81 – 79 UGA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TA&M | UGA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 6-12 |
| Home | 15-1 | 13-4 |
| Away | 7-4 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 3-5 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.8 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.5 | 71.5 |
| Massey | 9.8 (#48) | 3.0 (#121) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.54 (#60) | 0.95 (#93) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.81 (#64) | 1.36 (#79) |
| RPI | 0.567 (#65) | 0.526 (#129) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TA&M | UGA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 37.3 | 37.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 48.6% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 37.0% | 33.0% |
| FT Rate | 33.0% | 27.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 47.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.4% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 70.7% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.4% | 18.1% |
Game Analysis
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