Betting Lines
| Spread | UGA -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 173.5 Under |
| Money | UGA -192 TA&M +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UGA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TA&M +15 | 169 | Lost |
| Massey | UGA -5.7 (-20.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 183.8 (-14.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UGA -5.8 (-20.8) | 177.4 (-8.4) | 69% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UGA -7.2 (-22.2) | 171.3 (-2.3) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UGA -5.1 (-20.1) | 171.2 (-2.2) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UGA -5.1 (-20.1) | 174.1 (-5.1) | 71% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2025 | TA&M 69 – 53 UGA |
| Mar 2, 2024 | TA&M 70 – 56 UGA |
| Feb 5, 2023 | TA&M 82 – 57 UGA |
| Feb 23, 2022 | TA&M 91 – 77 UGA |
| Jan 5, 2022 | TA&M 81 – 79 UGA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UGA | TA&M |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-11 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 11-7 |
| Home | 14-4 | 14-4 |
| Away | 6-4 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 89.4 | 86.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.8 | 78.9 |
| Massey | 17.8 (#25) | 15.3 (#33) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.30 (#41) | 2.52 (#33) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.38 (#32) | 2.96 (#40) |
| RPI | 0.583 (#52) | 0.571 (#64) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UGA | TA&M |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.3% | 47.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 37.3% |
| REB / G | 40.7 | 38.1 |
| OREB / G | 13.7 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 1.73 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.2% | 56.5% |
| TOV% | 14.4% | 15.2% |
| ORB% | 36.3% | 33.7% |
| FT Rate | 30.9% | 29.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.4% | 50.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 20.7% |
| DRB% | 64.7% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.6% | 26.7% |
Game Analysis
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