Betting Lines
| Spread | TA&M -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | TA&M -340 UGA +270 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TA&M win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TA&M +16 | 122 | Won |
| Massey | TA&M -6.5 (+9.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.3 (-13.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TA&M -6.0 (+10.0) | 135.4 (-13.4) | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TA&M -6.2 (+9.8) | 135.0 (-13.0) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TA&M -6.0 (+10.0) | 136.2 (-14.2) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TA&M -6.5 (+9.5) | 136.5 (-14.5) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | TA&M 92 – 77 UGA |
| Mar 2, 2024 | TA&M 70 – 56 UGA |
| Feb 5, 2023 | TA&M 82 – 57 UGA |
| Feb 23, 2022 | TA&M 91 – 77 UGA |
| Jan 5, 2022 | TA&M 81 – 79 UGA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TA&M | UGA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 8-10 |
| Home | 13-3 | 15-3 |
| Away | 5-5 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.6 | 75.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.7 | 69.9 |
| Massey | 17.3 (#20) | 14.0 (#35) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.63 (#6) | 2.57 (#35) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.32 (#10) | 3.56 (#25) |
| RPI | 0.651 (#7) | 0.591 (#38) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TA&M | UGA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 46.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.3% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 41.3 | 37.5 |
| OREB / G | 16.1 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 42.5% | 37.1% |
| FT Rate | 28.4% | 28.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.3% | 46.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.9% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.8% | 21.2% |
Game Analysis
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