Betting Lines
| Spread | EMU -3.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.0 Over |
| Money | EMU -155 NIU +135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EMU +2 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | EMU -3.7 (-1.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.0 (+6.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EMU -3.2 (-1.2) | 141.1 (+4.9) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EMU -2.2 (-0.2) | 142.3 (+3.7) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EMU -1.9 (+0.1) | 142.9 (+3.1) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EMU -1.9 (+0.1) | 141.7 (+4.3) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 13, 2026 | EMU 77 – 59 NIU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | EMU 79 – 76 NIU |
| Jan 4, 2025 | EMU 75 – 71 NIU |
| Feb 3, 2024 | NIU 76 – 66 EMU |
| Mar 3, 2023 | NIU 85 – 66 EMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EMU | NIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-21 | 9-21 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 6-14 |
| Home | 8-7 | 3-8 |
| Away | 2-14 | 6-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.8 | 64.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.6 | 71.5 |
| Massey | -8.1 (#298) | -9.0 (#311) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.11 (#262) | -1.22 (#274) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.41 (#269) | -1.56 (#276) |
| RPI | 0.435 (#299) | 0.443 (#282) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EMU | NIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 30.8% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.72 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 47.7% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 22.3% | 24.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 22.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.0% | 29.5% |
Game Analysis
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