Betting Lines
| Spread | SLU -12.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SLU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SLU +11 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | SLU -11.7 (-0.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.1 (-13.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SLU -13.7 (-2.7) | 144.1 (-11.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SLU -10.9 (+0.1) | 146.1 (-13.1) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SLU -11.3 (-0.3) | 145.4 (-12.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SLU -11.9 (-0.9) | 145.3 (-12.3) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 31, 2025 | SLU 102 – 79 JOES |
| Feb 8, 2025 | JOES 76 – 63 SLU |
| Jan 4, 2025 | SLU 73 – 57 JOES |
| Feb 10, 2024 | JOES 87 – 86 SLU |
| Jan 11, 2024 | SLU 88 – 85 JOES |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SLU | JOES |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 11-19 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 5-13 |
| Home | 14-5 | 9-7 |
| Away | 5-6 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 67.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 69.1 |
| Massey | 9.7 (#51) | 0.8 (#150) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.34 (#79) | -0.25 (#198) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.52 (#85) | -0.07 (#188) |
| RPI | 0.569 (#59) | 0.483 (#210) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SLU | JOES |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 35.0% | 26.9% |
| FT Rate | 25.8% | 16.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.6% | 48.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 13.8% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 75.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 20.4% |
Game Analysis
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