Betting Lines
| Spread | MONM -7.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MONM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MONM +12 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | MONM -9.8 (+2.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.2 (-2.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MONM -8.2 (+3.8) | 135.8 (-5.8) | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MONM -7.5 (+4.5) | 134.8 (-4.8) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MONM -9.1 (+2.9) | 137.1 (-7.1) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MONM -9.0 (+3.0) | 136.3 (-6.3) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2022 | SIE 70 – 59 MONM |
| Jan 4, 2021 | SIE 76 – 62 MONM |
| Jan 3, 2021 | SIE 78 – 77 MONM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MONM | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 15-14 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 12-8 |
| Home | 9-5 | 8-5 |
| Away | 10-7 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 66.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.3 | 69.2 |
| Massey | 2.4 (#132) | -4.7 (#249) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.89 (#109) | -0.10 (#186) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.00 (#111) | -0.53 (#211) |
| RPI | 0.563 (#62) | 0.499 (#179) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MONM | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.0% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 37.3 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.3% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 29.5% | 24.0% |
| FT Rate | 27.6% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.0% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
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