Betting Lines
| Spread | SIE -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIE +14 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | SIE -0.6 (+13.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.0 (-21.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIE -2.3 (+11.7) | 154.2 (-16.2) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIE -2.5 (+11.5) | 158.9 (-20.9) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SIE -1.6 (+12.4) | 153.9 (-15.9) | 55% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2022 | SIE 70 – 59 MONM |
| Feb 23, 2022 | MONM 71 – 59 SIE |
| Jan 3, 2021 | SIE 78 – 77 MONM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIE | MONM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-5 | 12-8 |
| Conference | 12-4 | 12-6 |
| Home | 6-2 | 7-2 |
| Away | 6-2 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.6 | 76.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.0 | 74.3 |
| Massey | 0.4 (#163) | 3.1 (#116) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.63 (#66) | 0.56 (#133) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.00 (#78) | 1.21 (#103) |
| RPI | 0.711 (#3) | 0.551 (#94) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIE | MONM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 48.0% |
| 3PT% | 39.1% | 42.0% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.70 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 55.3% |
| TOV% | 13.4% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 24.3% | 26.3% |
| FT Rate | 20.0% | 22.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.1% | 48.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 21.6% |
| DRB% | 74.3% | 67.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.0% | 28.7% |
Game Analysis
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