Betting Lines
| Spread | MONM -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIE +11 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | MONM -3.7 (+14.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.8 (-3.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 42% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 32% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MONM -1.8 (+12.8) | 135.5 (-6.5) | 41% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MONM -1.9 (+12.9) | 136.5 (-7.5) | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MONM -2.2 (+13.2) | 137.8 (-8.8) | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MONM -2.2 (+13.2) | 135.6 (-6.6) | 42% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 23, 2022 | MONM 71 – 59 SIE |
| Jan 4, 2021 | SIE 76 – 62 MONM |
| Jan 3, 2021 | SIE 78 – 77 MONM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIE | MONM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-14 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 11-9 |
| Home | 8-5 | 9-5 |
| Away | 7-8 | 10-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.3 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.2 | 67.3 |
| Massey | -4.5 (#246) | 2.0 (#136) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.05 (#177) | 0.75 (#118) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.47 (#208) | 0.83 (#118) |
| RPI | 0.507 (#168) | 0.556 (#71) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIE | MONM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 32.9 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 47.5% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 24.1% | 29.2% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 27.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 46.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 72.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.5% | 23.9% |
Game Analysis
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