Betting Lines
| Spread | ARMY -6.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARMY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARMY +13 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | ARMY -7.4 (+5.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.3 (-20.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARMY -7.1 (+5.9) | 148.3 (-15.3) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARMY -6.3 (+6.7) | 151.5 (-18.5) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ARMY -6.2 (+6.8) | 152.1 (-19.1) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARMY -5.9 (+7.1) | 151.7 (-18.7) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | BUCK 65 – 55 ARMY |
| Feb 25, 2026 | BUCK 75 – 73 ARMY |
| Jan 22, 2026 | ARMY 87 – 84 BUCK |
| Feb 23, 2025 | BUCK 84 – 53 ARMY |
| Feb 8, 2025 | ARMY 116 – 110 BUCK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ARMY | BUCK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-16 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 5-13 |
| Home | 10-4 | 7-6 |
| Away | 4-12 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.1 | 71.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 79.4 |
| Massey | -7.5 (#292) | -12.1 (#334) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.25 (#277) | -2.16 (#332) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.69 (#288) | -2.75 (#336) |
| RPI | 0.453 (#253) | 0.396 (#343) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ARMY | BUCK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 37.1% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.6% | 52.1% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 21.8% |
| FT Rate | 20.2% | 21.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.4% | 52.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 13.3% |
| DRB% | 73.2% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.2% | 17.9% |
Game Analysis
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