Betting Lines
| Spread | BOIS -2.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 122.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BOIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BOIS +1 | 115 | Won |
| Massey | BOIS -2.5 (-1.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 115.0 (+0.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BOIS -3.2 (-2.2) | 122.7 (-7.7) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BOIS -3.0 (-2.0) | 124.2 (-9.2) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BOIS -4.3 (-3.3) | 125.9 (-10.9) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BOIS -3.5 (-2.5) | 126.6 (-11.6) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | BOIS 86 – 77 SDSU |
| Jan 4, 2026 | SDSU 110 – 107 BOIS |
| Mar 13, 2025 | BOIS 62 – 52 SDSU |
| Feb 16, 2025 | SDSU 64 – 47 BOIS |
| Jan 4, 2025 | SDSU 76 – 68 BOIS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BOIS | SDSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 23-9 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 13-4 |
| Home | 13-3 | 14-1 |
| Away | 9-3 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.7 | 65.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.0 | 58.1 |
| Massey | 11.3 (#34) | 11.5 (#32) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.25 (#34) | 2.22 (#36) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.64 (#37) | 2.73 (#35) |
| RPI | 0.595 (#34) | 0.598 (#32) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BOIS | SDSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 48.6% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 29.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.4% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.3% | 43.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.3% | 22.1% |
| DRB% | 78.9% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.7% | 19.2% |
Game Analysis
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