Betting Lines
| Spread | SJU -5.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SJU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CREI +3 | 159 | Lost |
| Massey | SJU -4.3 (-7.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.2 (+9.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 47% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 54% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SJU -5.0 (-8.0) | 148.7 (+10.3) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SJU -4.8 (-7.8) | 147.4 (+11.6) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SJU -4.7 (-7.7) | 148.4 (+10.6) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SJU -4.9 (-7.9) | 146.7 (+12.3) | 69% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | SJU 81 – 52 CREI |
| Jan 10, 2026 | SJU 90 – 73 CREI |
| Mar 15, 2025 | SJU 82 – 66 CREI |
| Feb 16, 2025 | SJU 79 – 73 CREI |
| Dec 31, 2024 | CREI 57 – 56 SJU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SJU | CREI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 8-11 | 12-7 |
| Home | 13-6 | 11-4 |
| Away | 4-8 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.6 | 69.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.2 | 66.4 |
| Massey | 9.7 (#50) | 8.1 (#67) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.64 (#59) | 2.24 (#35) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.35 (#46) | 2.72 (#36) |
| RPI | 0.533 (#116) | 0.567 (#60) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SJU | CREI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 38.1 | 38.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.49 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 21.0% |
| ORB% | 31.8% | 29.4% |
| FT Rate | 18.0% | 19.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 44.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.1% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 68.0% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.0% | 15.7% |
Game Analysis
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