Betting Lines
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | NE -105 COFC -115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COFC +11 | 155 | Lost |
| Massey | COFC -2.4 (-8.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.4 (+8.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 37% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 38% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COFC -2.6 (-8.4) | 141.5 (+13.5) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COFC -1.7 (-9.3) | 143.8 (+11.2) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COFC -1.8 (-9.2) | 144.7 (+10.3) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COFC -1.7 (-9.3) | 143.8 (+11.2) | 43% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | COFC 89 – 84 NE |
| Feb 21, 2025 | COFC 73 – 62 NE |
| Jan 18, 2025 | COFC 87 – 85 NE |
| Feb 16, 2024 | COFC 77 – 73 NE |
| Feb 14, 2023 | COFC 99 – 63 NE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NE | COFC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 8-10 |
| Home | 6-8 | 9-6 |
| Away | 0-12 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.3 | 78.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.1 | 76.4 |
| Massey | -5.3 (#257) | -0.1 (#165) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.93 (#250) | 0.08 (#169) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.07 (#251) | -0.05 (#182) |
| RPI | 0.447 (#272) | 0.500 (#177) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NE | COFC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 41.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 14.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 48.5% |
| TOV% | 21.8% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 27.8% | 35.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 22.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.0% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 76.5% | 75.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.2% | 27.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.