Betting Lines
| Spread | COFC -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | NE +100 COFC -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COFC +11 | 135 | Lost |
| Massey | NE -0.9 (-11.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.0 (-17.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 38% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NE -0.9 (-11.9) | 147.9 (-12.9) | 53% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NE -0.4 (-11.4) | 146.1 (-11.1) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NE -0.7 (-11.7) | 147.7 (-12.7) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NE -0.8 (-11.8) | 149.2 (-14.2) | 49% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | COFC 89 – 84 NE |
| Jan 18, 2025 | COFC 87 – 85 NE |
| Feb 16, 2024 | COFC 77 – 73 NE |
| Feb 14, 2023 | COFC 99 – 63 NE |
| Jan 21, 2023 | COFC 87 – 61 NE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NE | COFC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 24-9 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 13-5 |
| Home | 8-5 | 13-2 |
| Away | 7-8 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 76.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.7 | 73.9 |
| Massey | -2.1 (#201) | 0.1 (#155) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.10 (#176) | 0.94 (#93) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.24 (#187) | 0.89 (#107) |
| RPI | 0.508 (#168) | 0.558 (#72) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NE | COFC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.4% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.37 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 32.4% | 26.5% |
| FT Rate | 19.8% | 25.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 69.0% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.5% | 19.6% |
Game Analysis
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