Betting Lines
| Spread | COFC -15.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | COFC -2000 NE +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COFC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COFC +36 | 162 | Won |
| Massey | COFC -18.8 (+17.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.3 (+15.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COFC -18.9 (+17.1) | 144.9 (+17.1) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COFC -16.0 (+20.0) | 147.1 (+14.9) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COFC -16.5 (+19.5) | 146.5 (+15.5) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COFC -18.0 (+18.0) | 147.5 (+14.5) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | COFC 89 – 84 NE |
| Feb 21, 2025 | COFC 73 – 62 NE |
| Jan 18, 2025 | COFC 87 – 85 NE |
| Feb 16, 2024 | COFC 77 – 73 NE |
| Jan 21, 2023 | COFC 87 – 61 NE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COFC | NE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 31-4 | 10-20 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 6-12 |
| Home | 17-1 | 6-6 |
| Away | 11-2 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.6 | 65.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.2 | 71.7 |
| Massey | 8.0 (#72) | -7.2 (#294) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.11 (#30) | -1.31 (#293) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.50 (#38) | -1.45 (#281) |
| RPI | 0.582 (#44) | 0.434 (#300) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COFC | NE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 40.3 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 13.7 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 21.6% |
| ORB% | 35.4% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 23.4% | 18.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 49.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 14.4% |
| DRB% | 74.3% | 73.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.9% | 22.4% |
Game Analysis
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