Betting Lines
| Spread | COFC -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 161.5 Over |
| Money | NE +150 COFC -180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COFC +5 | 173 | Lost |
| Massey | COFC -1.6 (-3.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.5 (+12.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 23% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COFC -2.2 (-2.8) | 151.3 (+21.7) | 39% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COFC -1.5 (-3.5) | 152.2 (+20.8) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COFC -1.8 (-3.2) | 155.0 (+18.0) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COFC -2.1 (-2.9) | 153.6 (+19.4) | 40% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2025 | COFC 73 – 62 NE |
| Jan 18, 2025 | COFC 87 – 85 NE |
| Feb 16, 2024 | COFC 77 – 73 NE |
| Feb 14, 2023 | COFC 99 – 63 NE |
| Jan 21, 2023 | COFC 87 – 61 NE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NE | COFC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-24 | 21-11 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 14-4 |
| Home | 2-10 | 11-4 |
| Away | 3-13 | 8-4 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.9 | 75.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.0 | 73.9 |
| Massey | -4.8 (#241) | -0.0 (#166) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.12 (#268) | 0.64 (#108) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.31 (#255) | 0.50 (#126) |
| RPI | 0.449 (#265) | 0.543 (#92) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NE | COFC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 30.5% |
| REB / G | 30.9 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.28 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.3% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 28.0% | 31.3% |
| FT Rate | 22.6% | 32.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.3% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 14.2% |
| DRB% | 66.9% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.4% | 18.6% |
Game Analysis
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