Betting Lines
| Spread | COFC -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | NE +400 COFC -600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COFC +26 | 148 | Lost |
| Massey | COFC -8.9 (-17.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.3 (+3.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COFC -7.9 (-18.1) | 141.8 (+6.2) | 21% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COFC -8.7 (-17.3) | 144.3 (+3.7) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COFC -9.0 (-17.0) | 142.7 (+5.3) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COFC -7.5 (-18.5) | 142.1 (+5.9) | 19% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | COFC 89 – 84 NE |
| Feb 21, 2025 | COFC 73 – 62 NE |
| Jan 18, 2025 | COFC 87 – 85 NE |
| Feb 16, 2024 | COFC 77 – 73 NE |
| Feb 14, 2023 | COFC 99 – 63 NE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NE | COFC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-20 | 31-4 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 16-2 |
| Home | 6-6 | 17-1 |
| Away | 3-12 | 11-2 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.3 | 79.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.7 | 67.2 |
| Massey | -5.3 (#258) | 7.3 (#77) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.81 (#261) | 3.20 (#6) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.07 (#260) | 3.34 (#16) |
| RPI | 0.453 (#266) | 0.602 (#31) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NE | COFC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 40.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 13.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 22.0% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 32.2% | 35.0% |
| FT Rate | 18.0% | 23.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.0% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 73.4% | 73.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.3% | 16.2% |
Game Analysis
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