Betting Lines
| Spread | KU -12.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KU +19 | 185 | Won |
| Massey | KU -12.8 (+6.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.7 (+40.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KU -12.5 (+6.5) | 146.6 (+38.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KU -12.0 (+7.0) | 149.4 (+35.6) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KU -12.1 (+6.9) | 148.2 (+36.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KU -11.9 (+7.1) | 147.5 (+37.5) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | KU 104 – 85 KSU |
| Jan 25, 2026 | KU 86 – 62 KSU |
| Feb 8, 2025 | KSU 81 – 73 KU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | KU 84 – 74 KSU |
| Mar 6, 2024 | KU 90 – 68 KSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KU | KSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 34-6 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 6-12 |
| Home | 19-1 | 9-7 |
| Away | 6-4 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 9-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | W11 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.2 | 69.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.2 | 67.5 |
| Massey | 19.1 (#6) | 9.1 (#58) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.58 (#4) | 1.66 (#58) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.50 (#3) | 2.28 (#48) |
| RPI | 0.667 (#1) | 0.524 (#131) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KU | KSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.2% | 41.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.1% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 34.6% | 26.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 21.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.8% | 47.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.2% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
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