Betting Lines
| Spread | UALB -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 126.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ME win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UALB +4 | 140 | Lost |
| Massey | UALB -6.8 (+2.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 125.4 (+14.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 19% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 16% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UALB -6.7 (+2.7) | 129.1 (+10.9) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UALB -6.0 (+2.0) | 130.7 (+9.3) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UALB -6.0 (+2.0) | 132.2 (+7.8) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UALB -6.0 (+2.0) | 131.6 (+8.4) | 23% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | ME 70 – 59 UALB |
| Jan 22, 2026 | ME 52 – 49 UALB |
| Feb 20, 2025 | UALB 79 – 68 ME |
| Jan 11, 2025 | ME 87 – 66 UALB |
| Mar 2, 2024 | ME 74 – 71 UALB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ME | UALB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-23 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 9-9 |
| Home | 5-9 | 4-8 |
| Away | 1-14 | 8-9 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 60.7 | 61.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.8 | 65.9 |
| Massey | -15.7 (#353) | -6.1 (#269) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.04 (#351) | -1.08 (#259) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.64 (#351) | -1.48 (#272) |
| RPI | 0.374 (#350) | 0.452 (#259) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ME | UALB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.6% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 30.1 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.7% | 47.1% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 23.5% | 26.5% |
| FT Rate | 13.6% | 18.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.0% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 20.2% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
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