Betting Lines
| Spread | NCSU -6.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NCSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BC +8 | 130 | Lost |
| Massey | NCSU -4.4 (-12.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.9 (-12.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NCSU -4.9 (-12.9) | 144.0 (-14.0) | 70% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NCSU -5.8 (-13.8) | 141.1 (-11.1) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NCSU -5.0 (-13.0) | 145.1 (-15.1) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NCSU -4.7 (-12.7) | 145.2 (-15.2) | 70% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 7, 2026 | NCSU 79 – 71 BC |
| Feb 15, 2025 | NCSU 70 – 62 BC |
| Feb 24, 2024 | NCSU 81 – 70 BC |
| Dec 2, 2023 | NCSU 84 – 78 BC |
| Feb 11, 2023 | NCSU 92 – 62 BC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NCSU | BC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 6-14 |
| Home | 7-10 | 9-7 |
| Away | 3-7 | 2-10 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.0 | 66.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.6 | 68.1 |
| Massey | 2.8 (#125) | 1.2 (#143) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.06 (#171) | -0.20 (#197) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.39 (#146) | 0.01 (#177) |
| RPI | 0.488 (#197) | 0.453 (#255) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NCSU | BC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.7% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 30.2% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 46.4% |
| TOV% | 14.7% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 31.0% | 31.0% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 20.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 74.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.3% | 24.2% |
Game Analysis
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