Betting Lines
| Spread | BC -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | BC -133 NCSU +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NCSU +6 | 162 | Lost |
| Massey | BC -8.2 (-14.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.0 (+11.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BC -5.1 (-11.1) | 145.8 (+16.2) | 74% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BC -4.2 (-10.2) | 144.9 (+17.1) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BC -5.0 (-11.0) | 147.4 (+14.6) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BC -5.2 (-11.2) | 146.9 (+15.1) | 67% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 7, 2026 | NCSU 79 – 71 BC |
| Feb 15, 2025 | NCSU 70 – 62 BC |
| Feb 24, 2024 | NCSU 81 – 70 BC |
| Feb 11, 2023 | NCSU 92 – 62 BC |
| Feb 24, 2022 | BC 69 – 61 NCSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BC | NCSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-16 | 26-15 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 9-11 |
| Home | 10-6 | 12-5 |
| Away | 7-7 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 10-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 75.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.9 | 71.8 |
| Massey | 5.9 (#82) | 3.9 (#107) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.41 (#73) | 1.14 (#90) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.06 (#74) | 1.63 (#91) |
| RPI | 0.591 (#62) | 0.562 (#89) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BC | NCSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 30.9% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 1.49 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 13.3% |
| ORB% | 30.5% | 30.5% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 20.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 21.1% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.3% | 27.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.