Betting Lines
| Spread | MICH -5.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MICH +9 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | MICH -7.1 (+1.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.7 (+1.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MICH -6.2 (+2.8) | 135.9 (-2.9) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MICH -5.5 (+3.5) | 137.2 (-4.2) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MICH -5.9 (+3.1) | 137.5 (-4.5) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MICH -5.2 (+3.8) | 137.0 (-4.0) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 6, 2025 | MICH 101 – 60 RUTG |
| Feb 28, 2025 | MICH 84 – 82 RUTG |
| Feb 1, 2025 | MICH 66 – 63 RUTG |
| Mar 1, 2024 | RUTG 82 – 52 MICH |
| Feb 3, 2024 | RUTG 69 – 59 MICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MICH | RUTG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 12-8 |
| Home | 10-5 | 14-3 |
| Away | 5-7 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.6 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.4 | 66.5 |
| Massey | 11.6 (#32) | 7.3 (#79) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.91 (#48) | 1.70 (#53) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.42 (#41) | 2.36 (#46) |
| RPI | 0.591 (#40) | 0.544 (#97) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MICH | RUTG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.7% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 1.32 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 31.8% | 30.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 19.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.9% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 76.3% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.3% | 20.0% |
Game Analysis
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