Betting Lines
| Spread | UNA -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CARK +9 | 153 | Lost |
| Massey | UNA -6.4 (-15.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.9 (+7.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 39% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 44% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNA -4.7 (-13.7) | 148.6 (+4.4) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNA -3.6 (-12.6) | 146.4 (+6.6) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UNA -4.6 (-13.6) | 147.8 (+5.2) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNA -4.5 (-13.5) | 147.9 (+5.1) | 63% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 10, 2026 | CARK 72 – 65 UNA |
| Feb 5, 2026 | CARK 81 – 60 UNA |
| Feb 25, 2025 | UNA 93 – 70 CARK |
| Feb 2, 2025 | UNA 94 – 65 CARK |
| Mar 2, 2024 | UNA 82 – 78 CARK |
Game Analysis
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