Betting Lines
| Spread | UML -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UML win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UML +17 | 117 | Won |
| Massey | UML -2.7 (+14.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.8 (-28.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 41% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 37% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UML -2.3 (+14.7) | 146.1 (-29.1) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UML -1.7 (+15.3) | 148.8 (-31.8) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UML -1.8 (+15.2) | 151.3 (-34.3) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UML -1.5 (+15.5) | 150.8 (-33.8) | 58% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 10, 2022 | STBK 87 – 85 UML |
| Feb 27, 2021 | UML 64 – 62 STBK |
| Dec 28, 2020 | STBK 71 – 64 UML |
| Dec 27, 2020 | STBK 73 – 58 UML |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UML | STBK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-16 | 18-13 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 10-8 |
| Home | 8-6 | 13-4 |
| Away | 6-9 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | W2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.5 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.9 | 73.7 |
| Massey | -5.0 (#254) | -5.0 (#253) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.26 (#278) | -0.41 (#211) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.69 (#286) | -0.62 (#218) |
| RPI | 0.455 (#246) | 0.505 (#167) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UML | STBK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 30.3% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.1% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 15.2% |
| ORB% | 30.0% | 26.4% |
| FT Rate | 18.0% | 21.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 53.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 69.9% | 69.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.1% | 16.6% |
Game Analysis
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