Betting Lines
| Spread | STBK -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STBK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STBK +2 | 172 | Won |
| Massey | STBK -3.3 (-1.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.0 (+31.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STBK -3.1 (-1.1) | 138.5 (+33.5) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STBK -2.8 (-0.8) | 139.5 (+32.5) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | STBK -2.4 (-0.4) | 140.0 (+32.0) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STBK -3.0 (-1.0) | 139.7 (+32.3) | 61% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 24, 2022 | UML 67 – 50 STBK |
| Feb 27, 2021 | UML 64 – 62 STBK |
| Dec 28, 2020 | STBK 71 – 64 UML |
| Dec 27, 2020 | STBK 73 – 58 UML |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STBK | UML |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-13 | 15-16 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 7-11 |
| Home | 13-4 | 8-6 |
| Away | 5-9 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | W2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 67.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.7 | 67.9 |
| Massey | -4.5 (#247) | -4.6 (#250) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.13 (#186) | -1.10 (#266) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.27 (#194) | -1.63 (#278) |
| RPI | 0.505 (#168) | 0.456 (#250) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STBK | UML |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 30.5% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 47.2% |
| TOV% | 15.3% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 25.5% | 30.5% |
| FT Rate | 19.4% | 18.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.7% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 20.8% |
| DRB% | 67.7% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.0% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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