Betting Lines
| Spread | UML -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | UML -115 STBK -111 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UML win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UML +2 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | STBK -0.7 (+2.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.0 (-10.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 49% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STBK -0.7 (+2.7) | 133.4 (-7.4) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STBK -0.2 (+2.2) | 135.1 (-9.1) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | STBK -0.3 (+2.3) | 136.2 (-10.2) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STBK -0.3 (+2.3) | 136.3 (-10.3) | 48% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 24, 2022 | UML 67 – 50 STBK |
| Feb 10, 2022 | STBK 87 – 85 UML |
| Dec 28, 2020 | STBK 71 – 64 UML |
| Dec 27, 2020 | STBK 73 – 58 UML |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UML | STBK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-12 | 9-14 |
| Conference | 7-8 | 7-9 |
| Home | 3-4 | 5-5 |
| Away | 6-6 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 65.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 66.8 |
| Massey | -3.2 (#217) | -2.5 (#202) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.87 (#245) | -0.95 (#252) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.89 (#228) | -0.87 (#226) |
| RPI | 0.468 (#223) | 0.475 (#212) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UML | STBK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 40.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 28.8% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 37.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 45.9% |
| TOV% | 21.4% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 27.5% | 29.9% |
| FT Rate | 26.0% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 48.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 74.0% | 73.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.9% | 20.7% |
Game Analysis
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