Betting Lines
| Spread | STBK -3.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.0 Under |
| Money | STBK -160 UML +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STBK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STBK +7 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | STBK -6.5 (+0.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.7 (-1.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STBK -4.2 (+2.8) | 135.2 (-0.2) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STBK -5.6 (+1.4) | 137.5 (-2.5) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | STBK -5.1 (+1.9) | 137.7 (-2.7) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STBK -5.0 (+2.0) | 139.1 (-4.1) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 24, 2022 | UML 67 – 50 STBK |
| Feb 10, 2022 | STBK 87 – 85 UML |
| Feb 27, 2021 | UML 64 – 62 STBK |
| Dec 27, 2020 | STBK 73 – 58 UML |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STBK | UML |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-14 | 11-12 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 7-8 |
| Home | 5-5 | 3-4 |
| Away | 4-8 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.4 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.8 | 70.9 |
| Massey | -1.5 (#185) | -3.9 (#226) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.12 (#173) | -0.57 (#205) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.03 (#161) | -0.66 (#186) |
| RPI | 0.499 (#157) | 0.496 (#164) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STBK | UML |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 7.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 0.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 21.4% | 23.1% |
| ORB% | 27.8% | 22.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.4% | 30.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.3% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 74.6% | 72.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.9% | 28.4% |
Game Analysis
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