I know you're dissatisfied with your position and your place. "Positively 4th Street" - Bob Dylan
America East Conference · Island FCU Arena · December 27, 2020
Betting Lines
Spread STBK -1.5 Home covered
O/U 144.0 Under
Money STBK -125 / UML +105
Model Predictions
Spread Total STBK win
Actual STBK +15 131 Won
Massey STBK -3.3 (+11.7) — —
Massey Totals — 141.1 (-10.1) —
Bradley-Terry — — 61% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 56% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ STBK -1.7 (+13.3) 139.7 (-8.7) 63% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML STBK -2.6 (+12.4) 141.0 (-10.0) 64% ✓
Baseline ML STBK -1.9 (+13.1) 140.5 (-9.5) 62% ✓
Baseline Plus ML STBK -2.0 (+13.0) 141.2 (-10.2) 72% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 24, 2022 UML 67 – 50 STBK
Feb 10, 2022 STBK 87 – 85 UML
Feb 27, 2021 UML 64 – 62 STBK
Dec 28, 2020 STBK 71 – 64 UML

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings STBK UML
Overall 9-14 11-12
Conference 7-9 7-8
Home 5-5 3-4
Away 4-8 6-6
Neutral 0-1 2-2
Last 5 2-3 1-4
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 65.4 68.5
Avg Pts Against 66.8 70.9
Massey -3.3 (#215) -2.5 (#200)
Bradley-Terry -0.57 (#208) -0.33 (#188)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.82 (#198) -0.29 (#172)
RPI 0.478 (#185) 0.488 (#170)
Shooting & Four Factors STBK UML
FG% 44.0% 43.2%
3PT% 33.3% 34.7%
REB / G 37.1 33.5
OREB / G 10.6 7.3
AST / TO 0.79 0.70
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.3% 50.2%
TOV% 22.1% 23.4%
ORB% 28.2% 22.9%
FT Rate 23.2% 30.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.6% 48.0%
Opp TOV% 20.2% 16.1%
DRB% 73.8% 72.0%
Opp FT Rate 16.6% 28.9%

Game Analysis

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