Betting Lines
| Spread | LEH -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | LEH -210 AMER +175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LEH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LEH +17 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | LEH -5.9 (+11.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.9 (+2.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LEH -2.3 (+14.7) | 134.0 (+5.0) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LEH -4.2 (+12.8) | 137.8 (+1.2) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LEH -3.7 (+13.3) | 138.7 (+0.3) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LEH -3.8 (+13.2) | 136.4 (+2.6) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | LEH 78 – 73 AMER |
| Feb 12, 2026 | LEH 90 – 82 AMER |
| Feb 8, 2025 | AMER 78 – 75 LEH |
| Jan 23, 2025 | AMER 68 – 67 LEH |
| Jan 20, 2024 | LEH 70 – 68 AMER |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LEH | AMER |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 5-13 |
| Home | 9-7 | 6-5 |
| Away | 4-12 | 4-16 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.4 | 63.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.6 | 70.9 |
| Massey | -9.3 (#313) | -12.4 (#338) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.86 (#316) | -1.99 (#323) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.49 (#327) | -2.30 (#320) |
| RPI | 0.416 (#321) | 0.398 (#341) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LEH | AMER |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 37.9% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 30.3 |
| OREB / G | 6.9 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 21.2% | 24.8% |
| FT Rate | 19.1% | 17.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 53.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.5% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 73.8% | 70.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.9% | 19.0% |
Game Analysis
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