Betting Lines
| Spread | GWEB -6.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | GWEB -260 UNCA +220 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GWEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GWEB +1 | 119 | Won |
| Massey | GWEB -5.9 (-4.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.3 (-13.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GWEB -5.6 (-4.6) | 140.6 (-21.6) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GWEB -5.2 (-4.2) | 138.3 (-19.3) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GWEB -4.9 (-3.9) | 139.8 (-20.8) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GWEB -5.4 (-4.4) | 138.9 (-19.9) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | UNCA 77 – 71 GWEB |
| Jan 29, 2026 | UNCA 69 – 50 GWEB |
| Feb 7, 2025 | UNCA 78 – 70 GWEB |
| Jan 23, 2025 | UNCA 61 – 53 GWEB |
| Mar 9, 2024 | UNCA 83 – 72 GWEB |
Game Analysis
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