Betting Lines
| Spread | JAX -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 128.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JAX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JAX +32 | 110 | Won |
| Massey | JAX -7.4 (+24.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 123.2 (-13.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JAX -6.6 (+25.4) | 128.3 (-18.3) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JAX -6.5 (+25.5) | 129.9 (-19.9) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JAX -6.6 (+25.4) | 128.8 (-18.8) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JAX -7.4 (+24.6) | 128.7 (-18.7) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | JAX 85 – 61 UNF |
| Feb 14, 2026 | JAX 63 – 56 UNF |
| Feb 21, 2025 | UNF 77 – 73 JAX |
| Feb 1, 2025 | UNF 81 – 78 JAX |
| Feb 24, 2024 | JAX 62 – 50 UNF |
Game Analysis
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