Betting Lines
| Spread | LONG -8.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LONG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LONG +5 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | LONG -11.0 (-6.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.2 (+4.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LONG -9.4 (-4.4) | 130.4 (+6.6) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LONG -10.2 (-5.2) | 136.4 (+0.6) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LONG -9.9 (-4.9) | 136.6 (+0.4) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LONG -10.3 (-5.3) | 134.0 (+3.0) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | LONG 90 – 74 RAD |
| Jan 17, 2026 | RAD 85 – 83 LONG |
| Feb 8, 2025 | RAD 71 – 69 LONG |
| Jan 23, 2025 | LONG 77 – 74 RAD |
| Feb 24, 2024 | RAD 88 – 82 LONG |
Game Analysis
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