Betting Lines
| Spread | COLG -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLG +7 | 149 | Lost |
| Massey | COLG -13.3 (+6.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.4 (+9.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 20% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 10% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLG -12.6 (+5.6) | 139.3 (+9.7) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLG -10.7 (+3.7) | 139.4 (+9.6) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLG -10.9 (+3.9) | 140.6 (+8.4) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLG -11.5 (+4.5) | 139.7 (+9.3) | 15% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 11, 2026 | COLG 74 – 70 HC |
| Jan 29, 2026 | COLG 79 – 74 HC |
| Feb 27, 2025 | COLG 81 – 73 HC |
| Feb 12, 2025 | COLG 87 – 65 HC |
| Mar 8, 2024 | COLG 81 – 64 HC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HC | COLG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 16-2 |
| Home | 5-9 | 15-1 |
| Away | 4-11 | 8-10 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.1 | 75.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.0 | 67.6 |
| Massey | -13.8 (#348) | 2.3 (#132) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.08 (#327) | -0.19 (#193) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.73 (#334) | -0.05 (#182) |
| RPI | 0.402 (#336) | 0.514 (#154) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HC | COLG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.6% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.4% | 38.9% |
| REB / G | 32.9 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.74 | 1.42 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.3% | 54.8% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 27.6% | 27.3% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 17.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.2% | 49.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 75.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.7% | 17.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.