Betting Lines
| Spread | COLG -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | COLG -750 HC +475 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLG +8 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | COLG -6.7 (+1.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.3 (+8.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLG -4.8 (+3.2) | 146.0 (+8.0) | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLG -7.7 (+0.3) | 144.2 (+9.8) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLG -4.9 (+3.1) | 145.0 (+9.0) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLG -5.0 (+3.0) | 146.5 (+7.5) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 11, 2026 | COLG 74 – 70 HC |
| Jan 29, 2026 | COLG 79 – 74 HC |
| Feb 12, 2025 | COLG 87 – 65 HC |
| Mar 8, 2024 | COLG 81 – 64 HC |
| Feb 29, 2024 | COLG 77 – 58 HC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLG | HC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 5-13 |
| Home | 10-4 | 7-6 |
| Away | 4-13 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.4 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.7 | 73.7 |
| Massey | -5.3 (#249) | -8.8 (#310) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.12 (#274) | -1.18 (#277) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.32 (#270) | -1.69 (#292) |
| RPI | 0.462 (#257) | 0.470 (#242) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLG | HC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 37.7% |
| REB / G | 31.9 | 32.1 |
| OREB / G | 7.8 | 7.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.22 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.0% | 52.7% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 24.0% | 23.8% |
| FT Rate | 16.7% | 15.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.4% | 53.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 13.8% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.9% | 16.8% |
Game Analysis
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