Betting Lines
| Spread | COLG -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | COLG -700 HC +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLG +5 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | COLG -12.0 (-7.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.5 (+8.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLG -10.7 (-5.7) | 142.8 (+10.2) | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLG -8.8 (-3.8) | 141.1 (+11.9) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLG -9.5 (-4.5) | 141.9 (+11.1) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLG -9.7 (-4.7) | 142.4 (+10.6) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 11, 2026 | COLG 74 – 70 HC |
| Feb 27, 2025 | COLG 81 – 73 HC |
| Feb 12, 2025 | COLG 87 – 65 HC |
| Mar 8, 2024 | COLG 81 – 64 HC |
| Feb 29, 2024 | COLG 77 – 58 HC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLG | HC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 11-22 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 5-13 |
| Home | 9-5 | 6-8 |
| Away | 6-10 | 4-14 |
| Neutral | 2-0 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.6 | 67.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.2 | 74.8 |
| Massey | -1.9 (#195) | -10.7 (#320) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.59 (#222) | -1.59 (#304) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.64 (#215) | -2.25 (#313) |
| RPI | 0.495 (#195) | 0.419 (#316) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLG | HC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.5% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 32.9 | 29.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 7.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.40 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.8% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 15.2% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 26.7% | 21.7% |
| FT Rate | 20.4% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 54.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 14.8% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.8% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
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