Betting Lines
| Spread | COLG -19.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | COLG -5000 HC +1200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLG +17 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | COLG -19.3 (-2.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.9 (+7.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLG -15.7 (+1.3) | 139.0 (+6.0) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLG -16.7 (+0.3) | 137.3 (+7.7) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLG -14.8 (+2.2) | 137.6 (+7.4) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLG -15.9 (+1.1) | 138.4 (+6.6) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 11, 2026 | COLG 74 – 70 HC |
| Jan 29, 2026 | COLG 79 – 74 HC |
| Feb 27, 2025 | COLG 81 – 73 HC |
| Feb 12, 2025 | COLG 87 – 65 HC |
| Feb 29, 2024 | COLG 77 – 58 HC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLG | HC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 10-23 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 6-12 |
| Home | 13-3 | 5-8 |
| Away | 10-5 | 4-14 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 65.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.9 | 75.1 |
| Massey | 2.1 (#135) | -13.9 (#347) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.36 (#139) | -2.44 (#343) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.32 (#147) | -3.11 (#344) |
| RPI | 0.559 (#73) | 0.400 (#341) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLG | HC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.1% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 25.1% | 23.5% |
| FT Rate | 18.1% | 17.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.2% | 53.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 12.9% |
| DRB% | 75.2% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.6% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
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