I'm gonna tell you how it's gonna be. "Not Fade Away"-The Rolling Stones
Sun Belt Conference · Hanner Fieldhouse · February 24, 2022
Betting Lines
O/U 136.0 Over
Money GASO +100 / UL -120
Model Predictions
Spread Total GASO win
Actual UL +13 151 Lost
Massey UL -0.1 (-12.9)
Massey Totals 134.4 (+16.6)
Bradley-Terry 58%
Weighted B-T 49%
Baseline Plus ML GASO -0.2 (-13.2) 136.4 (+14.6) 48%
Model 4 ML UL -1.9 (-11.1) 136.4 (+14.6) 36%
Model 3 ML GASO -0.3 (-13.3) 136.6 (+14.4) 50%
Baseline ML GASO -0.2 (-13.2) 137.5 (+13.5) 47%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 31, 2026 UL 6960 GASO
Feb 6, 2025 GASO 8382 UL
Mar 5, 2023 UL 6749 GASO
Jan 29, 2023 UL 9487 GASO
Jan 30, 2022 GASO 6665 UL

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings GASO UL
Overall 13-16 16-15
Conference 5-11 8-9
Home 7-5 7-6
Away 4-10 6-8
Neutral 2-1 3-1
Last 5 0-5 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 63.6 70.3
Avg Pts Against 67.6 70.1
Massey -4.8 (#248) -1.8 (#201)
Bradley-Terry -0.56 (#223) -0.39 (#206)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.96 (#239) -0.37 (#202)
RPI 0.454 (#248) 0.477 (#222)
Shooting & Four Factors GASO UL
FG% 42.7% 41.9%
3PT% 28.0% 34.0%
REB / G 33.5 38.5
OREB / G 9.6 12.5
AST / TO 0.74 0.78
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.7% 48.3%
TOV% 22.1% 22.7%
ORB% 28.8% 34.3%
FT Rate 21.2% 23.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.6% 47.8%
Opp TOV% 19.7% 19.5%
DRB% 69.1% 72.7%
Opp FT Rate 23.7% 26.5%

Game Analysis

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