Betting Lines
| O/U | 136.0 Over |
| Money | GASO +100 UL -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GASO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UL +13 | 151 | Lost |
| Massey | UL -0.1 (-12.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.4 (+16.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GASO -0.3 (-13.3) | 136.6 (+14.4) | 50% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UL -1.9 (-11.1) | 136.4 (+14.6) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GASO -0.2 (-13.2) | 136.4 (+14.6) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GASO -0.2 (-13.2) | 137.5 (+13.5) | 47% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | UL 69 – 60 GASO |
| Feb 6, 2025 | GASO 83 – 82 UL |
| Mar 5, 2023 | UL 67 – 49 GASO |
| Jan 29, 2023 | UL 94 – 87 GASO |
| Jan 30, 2022 | GASO 66 – 65 UL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GASO | UL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-16 | 16-15 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 8-9 |
| Home | 7-5 | 7-6 |
| Away | 4-10 | 6-8 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.6 | 70.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.6 | 70.1 |
| Massey | -4.8 (#248) | -1.8 (#201) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.56 (#223) | -0.39 (#206) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.96 (#239) | -0.37 (#202) |
| RPI | 0.454 (#248) | 0.477 (#222) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GASO | UL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 28.0% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 38.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.74 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 22.1% | 22.7% |
| ORB% | 28.8% | 34.3% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 23.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 47.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.7% | 26.5% |
Game Analysis
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